Legislature(2003 - 2004)

03/26/2003 03:37 PM Senate RES

Audio Topic
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
                    ALASKA STATE LEGISLATURE                                                                                  
              SENATE RESOURCES STANDING COMMITTEE                                                                             
                         March 26, 2003                                                                                         
                           3:37 p.m.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Senator Scott Ogan, Chair                                                                                                       
Senator Thomas Wagoner, Vice Chair                                                                                              
Senator Fred Dyson                                                                                                              
Senator Ralph Seekins                                                                                                           
Senator Ben Stevens                                                                                                             
Senator Kim Elton                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Senator Georgianna Lincoln                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
COMMITTEE CALENDAR                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATE BILL NO. 50                                                                                                              
"An Act amending the manner of determining the royalty received                                                                 
by the state on gas production as it relates to the manufacture                                                                 
of certain value-added products."                                                                                               
     HEARD AND HELD                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
PREVIOUS ACTION                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
SB 50 - No previous action to record.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
WITNESS REGISTER                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Mary Jackson                                                                                                                
Staff to Senator Wagoner                                                                                                        
Alaska State Capitol                                                                                                            
Juneau, AK  99801-1182                                                                                                          
POSITION STATEMENT:  Presented SB 50 for the sponsor                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Gary Carlson                                                                                                                
Forest Oil Corporation                                                                                                          
1600 Broadway, Suite 2200                                                                                                       
Denver, CO 80202                                                                                                                
POSITION STATEMENT:  Supports SB 50                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Ms. Lisa Parker                                                                                                                 
Agrium                                                                                                                          
PO Box 575                                                                                                                      
Kenai, AK  99611                                                                                                                
POSITION STATEMENT:  Answered questions about CSSB 50(RES)                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Bill Popp                                                                                                                   
Kenai Peninsula Borough                                                                                                         
144 North Binkley St.                                                                                                           
Soldotna, AK 99669                                                                                                              
POSITION STATEMENT:  Supports CSSB 50(RES)                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Mike Nugent                                                                                                                 
Agrium                                                                                                                          
PO Box 575                                                                                                                      
Kenai, AK 99611                                                                                                                 
POSITION STATEMENT: Stated support for CSSB 50(RES)                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Eric McDowell                                                                                                               
The McDowell Group                                                                                                              
Juneau, AK                                                                                                                      
POSITION STATEMENT:  Answered questions related to CSSB 50(RES)                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Mark Myers                                                                                                                  
Division of Oil and Gas                                                                                                         
Department of Natural Resources                                                                                                 
550 W 7th Ave.                                                                                                                  
Anchorage, AK  99501                                                                                                            
POSITION STATEMENT:  Supports CSSB 50(RES)                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ACTION NARRATIVE                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
TAPE 03-17, SIDE A                                                                                                            
Number 0001                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SCOTT OGAN called the Senate Resources Standing Committee                                                               
meeting to order at 3:37 p.m. All members were present except                                                                   
Senator Lincoln, who was excused. The committee took up SB 50.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
                  SB 50-ROYALTY GAS CONTRACTS                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN noted the sponsor prepared a proposed committee                                                                      
substitute, labeled Version H.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN STEVENS moved to adopt Version H as the working                                                                     
document before the committee.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN objected for the purpose of discussion.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MS. MARY  JACKSON, staff  to Senator Tom  Wagoner, sponsor  of SB
50, told members that Version H  now conforms to HB 57, companion                                                               
legislation  that  was  heard  yesterday  in  the  House  Finance                                                               
Committee. She referred  to a handout comparing SB  50 to Version                                                               
H and provided the following explanation of Version H.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
On  page 1,  lines 10-12,  language was  inserted that  specifies                                                               
that the contract  will be used to  accept a price for  gas on or                                                               
after the effective date of  this particular act. In addition, it                                                               
further defines a manufacturer as  a manufacturer of agricultural                                                               
chemicals. That is the predominant change in Version H.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
On page 2,  lines 10-11 and lines  30-31, and on page  3, line 7,                                                               
language   was  again   added  to   specify  a   manufacturer  of                                                               
agricultural chemicals.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
On page  3, lines  8-12, the definition  was expanded  to reflect                                                               
"manufacturer of agricultural chemicals."                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
On  page  3,  lines  13-18,   new  language  was  added  so  that                                                               
applicability occurs on the date of passage of this act.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MS.  JACKSON  said  the  House's   intent  in  making  the  above                                                               
revisions was  to clarify what  a manufacturer is.  House members                                                               
had considerable discussion about the appropriate verbiage.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN  removed his objection  to the adoption of  Version H;                                                               
therefore  Version   H  was  the  working   document  before  the                                                               
committee.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON  told members  that the sponsor  statement for  SB 50                                                               
still applies. The intent of the  bill is to provide certainty of                                                               
the  cost of  the royalty  gas  to a  manufacturing entity.  That                                                               
would be accomplished by allowing  the commissioner to enter into                                                               
an  agreement  with  a  manufacturing   entity,  similar  to  the                                                               
agreements   made  with   utility  companies.   She  noted   that                                                               
representatives from the manufacturing  company this bill applies                                                               
to   are   present  to   answer   questions   about  the   fiscal                                                               
implications.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN stated for the record  that it is not his intention to                                                               
move this bill out of committee today.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR SEEKINS referred to the language  on page 1, line 8, that                                                               
reads, "the commissioner  shall enter into an  agreement with the                                                               
lessee to use  or accept the price," and asked  how the state can                                                               
compel someone to agree on a lease price within 90 days.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON  said she  doesn't know that  the state  could compel                                                               
anyone, however the bill requires  the commissioner to act within                                                               
certain parameters  set out on page  2, lines 28 and  29. It also                                                               
requires  the commissioner  to enter  an  agreement when  certain                                                               
findings are in place.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  SEEKINS  said  the  word   "shall"  indicates  that  the                                                               
commissioner has no choice but  to enter into an agreement within                                                               
90 days  regardless of  where the  parties are  in the  stages of                                                               
negotiation. He asked if that is common language.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON said  that is the existing statutory  language so the                                                               
commissioner  is required  to enter  into an  agreement with  the                                                               
utilities   now.   This   bill  inserts   agricultural   chemical                                                               
manufacturers into the existing statutes.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN suggested discussing  that point with the commissioner                                                               
to see if that language has been problematic in the past.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR SEEKINS  said whenever he  enters into a  lease agreement                                                               
with a  customer, both parties have  to come to an  agreement and                                                               
no "shall" is involved.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  ELTON asked  if the  committee would  be hearing  from a                                                               
department representative.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN said that Mr. Myers was available.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR SEEKINS suggested  that the language on page  2, line 23,                                                               
"unless the  contract price  is unreasonably  low," might  be the                                                               
caveat. He said  it appears that the  commissioner must negotiate                                                               
if  a  request  is  made  and,  as  long  as  the  price  is  not                                                               
unreasonably low, the  commissioner is compelled to  enter into a                                                               
lease agreement.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MS.  JACKSON said  that is  exactly the  point; the  commissioner                                                               
does  not have  the  luxury  of dragging  his  or  her feet.  The                                                               
commissioner  is  required  to  go   forward  if  DNR  finds  the                                                               
agreement is in the best interest of the state.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN  asked if  the bill contains  a provision  that allows                                                               
the  negotiations  to  be  reopened  if  the  economics  suddenly                                                               
change.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON  said not  that she  is aware of,  but that  does not                                                               
mean a provision could not be inserted into a contract.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN said  he is sympathetic to Agrium's need  to know what                                                               
its cost of gas will be and there  will be a cost to the state to                                                               
provide  that. He  said part  of the  problem is  the market  for                                                               
Agrium's product  is soft,  but if  the market  suddenly improves                                                               
and the state  is taking a loss,  he would like to  provide a way                                                               
for the state to reconsider.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON  asked Chair  Ogan if  his intent  is that  the state                                                               
should share the  risk with the manufacturer, but  it should also                                                               
share any windfalls.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN  said that is correct.  He said that is  a concept the                                                               
committee  can work  on and  talk to  the manufacturer  about. He                                                               
then took public testimony.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR.   GARY  CARLSON,   Senior  Vice   President  of   Forest  Oil                                                               
Corporation,  an upstream  producer that  concentrates mainly  in                                                               
Cook Inlet,  said the focus of  his testimony will be  to provide                                                               
the viewpoint of  an upstream producer that may  be entering into                                                               
an arms length  contract with Agrium for a  future gas discovery.                                                               
He made the following statement.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Gas  exploration is  only a  recent focus  in the  Cook                                                                    
     Inlet  outside   the  companies  that   controlled  the                                                                    
     market. You  now have companies like  Aurora, Evergreen                                                                    
     and Forest  Oil beginning to invest  in gas exploration                                                                    
     and development  with the  anticipation of  supply gaps                                                                    
     in  future markets.  There is  a  small, but  expanding                                                                    
     demand by  the utilities, and an  anticipated large gap                                                                    
     in  the amount  of  gas committed  to  keep the  Agrium                                                                    
     plant at capacity. Forest Oil  is actively investing in                                                                    
     gas prospects in part due to this anticipated market.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     Field  size distribution  analysis suggests  that there                                                                    
     are  100  BCF  to  500  BCF  accumulations  yet  to  be                                                                    
     discovered in the Inlet.  The current annual production                                                                    
     rate  of 200  BCF can  be broken  down into  service to                                                                    
     various markets.  A rough estimate would  be 35 percent                                                                    
     LNG,  25  percent   fertilizer  feedstock,  30  percent                                                                    
     utilities  and   10  percent  fuel   in  oil   and  gas                                                                    
     facilities.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Field  size distribution  analysis suggests  that there                                                                    
     are  100  BCF  to  500  BCF  accumulations  yet  to  be                                                                    
     discovered in the Inlet.  The current annual production                                                                    
     rate  of 200  BCF can  be broken  down into  service to                                                                    
     various markets.  A rough estimate would  be 35 percent                                                                    
     LNG,  25  percent   fertilizer  feedstock,  30  percent                                                                    
     utilities  and   10  percent  fuel   in  oil   and  gas                                                                    
     facilities.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     The commerciality  of the projects  is tied  to capital                                                                    
     required, rate  that the asset can  produce, and price.                                                                    
     As an industry,  we are working hard to  drive down the                                                                    
     costs using  new technology and  innovative utilization                                                                    
     of current  infrastructure. The gap  in supply  for the                                                                    
     fertilizer plant  is a key  driver for  the anticipated                                                                    
     market. I will not try  to address the price Agrium can                                                                    
     afford to pay  for its feedstock except to  say that it                                                                    
     ranges  from   $1.50  to   $2.00  MCF   depending  upon                                                                    
     fertilizer prices.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     Under  current law,  these low  product prices  coupled                                                                    
     with  the  potential of  a  20  percent royalty  burden                                                                    
     would  limit  the  number  of  small  or  moderate  gas                                                                    
     development   projects   that   could   be   considered                                                                    
     commercial. The other  threat facing potential upstream                                                                    
     investors  in gas  potential is  the partial  idling or                                                                    
     shutting  in of  the  fertilizer plant  for Cook  Inlet                                                                    
     gas, thus eliminating the near term market.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     The timeframe from exploration  to first production can                                                                    
     exceed 5 years; therefore,  some degree of certainty is                                                                    
     essential  to  encourage   investment.  Currently,  the                                                                    
     state has  the ability and willingness  to negotiate an                                                                    
     equitable  royalty settlement  and that  is a  possible                                                                    
     solution  to  this  critical  problem;  however,  there                                                                    
     still remains a degree of uncertainty in the process.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     As an upstream  investor in the Cook  Inlet, Forest Oil                                                                    
     supports  SB  50.  I  would  be  happy  to  answer  any                                                                    
     questions.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN asked Mr. Carlson how much gas Forest Oil supplies.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR.  CARLSON  said all  of  Forest  Oil's  current gas  is  being                                                               
consumed in  lifting the oil  production. He said Forest  Oil has                                                               
gas prospects  and some excess  gas production that it  is trying                                                               
to bring  to the market.  Right now, the only  substantial demand                                                               
is the Agrium plant.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN asked if it is fair to say the stability of that                                                                     
market drives Forest Oil's investment decisions in Cook Inlet.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR.  CARLSON said  that  is  a good  description.  Forest Oil  is                                                               
counting  on   that  market  being   available.  It   could  make                                                               
substantial  investments today  but if  the market  disappears it                                                               
would be a  difficult problem for the industry  so certainty will                                                               
help. In  response to a  statement by  Chair Ogan, he  offered to                                                               
host committee members and show  them the Osprey platform and its                                                               
facilities. He  said after investing  $200 million in  the state,                                                               
it has been good to see  some return. Forest Oil began production                                                               
in December.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN  asked if Forest Oil  has oil and gas  reserves booked                                                               
at this point.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR.  CARLSON said  Forest Oil  has reserves  booked based  on its                                                               
ownership in the  other fields and, when  it purchased Marathon's                                                               
oil  fields, it  had reserves  booked in  a small  field that  it                                                               
bought from  Stewart Petroleum.  It has  just booked  reserves at                                                               
Redoubt.  Forest Oil's  position is  that it  hopes the  reserves                                                               
wind up between  50 and 100 million barrels but  it has only been                                                               
in production a couple of months.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN asked what Forest Oil's output will be.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR. CARLSON said it is producing  around 3,000 barrels a day from                                                               
two  wells  and  it  has  another  well  ready  to  produce.  The                                                               
challenge  is drilling  wells two  to three  miles away  from the                                                               
platform;  therefore Forest  Oil  can only  drill  three or  four                                                               
wells  per year.  Forest Oil  hopes  to build  its production  to                                                               
10,000 barrels per day but that will take time.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN again asked the amount of gas Forest Oil produces.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  CARLSON said  the Redoubt  Shoal development,  which he  was                                                               
referring  to,   is  primarily   oil.  The   amount  of   gas  is                                                               
insufficient to  lift the oil  so Forest  Oil is taking  gas from                                                               
the Westmoreland field to power  the equipment needed to lift the                                                               
oil. Forest Oil's  anticipated sales in the future  would be from                                                               
new prospects that have yet to be drilled.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN thanked Mr. Carlson.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MS.  LISA PARKER  and MR.  MIKE NUGENT  of Agrium,  AND MR.  ERIC                                                               
MCDOWELL  of   the  McDowell  Group,  introduced   themselves  to                                                               
members.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT provided the following written testimony.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     Mr. Chairman,  members of the committee,  thank you for                                                                    
     the opportunity  to testify before you  this afternoon.                                                                    
     My name is Mike Nugent and  I am the General Manager of                                                                    
     Agrium's  Kenai  Nitrogen  Operations based  in  Kenai,                                                                    
     Alaska.   With me  today is  Lisa Parker,  Government &                                                                    
     Community Relations  Advisor for  Agrium U.S.  and Eric                                                                    
     McDowell from the  McDowell Group.  I am  here today to                                                                    
     speak in favor of the bill before you - SB 50.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
     As I  view this  legislation, it is  just one  piece of                                                                    
     the pie,  which could  provide producers in  Cook Inlet                                                                    
     with stability,  and Agrium with certainty  of what the                                                                    
     costs are  to manufacture  the products  we sell.   The                                                                    
     major raw  material we use to  manufacture our products                                                                    
     is natural gas.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     Agrium's Kenai  Nitrogen Operations is one  of Alaska's                                                                    
     few  major value-added  manufacturing operations.   The                                                                    
     Kenai plant is the  second largest producer of nitrogen                                                                    
     products  in  the  United   States,  with  the  largest                                                                    
     facility   being   in   Louisiana.   From   Kenai,   we                                                                    
     manufacture 6% of the total  nitrogen products in North                                                                    
     America.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     While  we are  located in  Kenai, the  majority of  our                                                                    
     product   is  exported   to   Pacific  Rim   countries,                                                                    
     including   Korea,   Taiwan,  Mexico,   Thailand,   and                                                                    
     Australia,  to  name a  few.    In total,  we  exported                                                                    
     product to fifteen different countries  and in 2001 the                                                                    
     gross sale value of our  product was $210 million (this                                                                    
     is  total   sales).    Kenai   has  been  able   to  be                                                                    
     competitive in world markets                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
        á because of its location-close to Pacific Rim Markets,                                                                 
        á because there is a skilled workforce, and                                                                             
        á because there is a stable government.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     Countries that  compete with  Kenai to  sell fertilizer                                                                    
     products  -   Russia,  Indonesia,  Saudi   Arabia,  and                                                                    
     Venezuela  -   do  not  have  these   same  attributes,                                                                    
     particularly a  stable government.  However,  what they                                                                    
     do  have are  extremely low  natural gas  prices, which                                                                    
     puts Kenai at a  disadvantage in marketing our product.                                                                    
     This disadvantage is in part  due to current provisions                                                                    
     in state  contracts, which require the  State of Alaska                                                                    
     to  receive  the  highest   prevailing  price  for  the                                                                    
     State's royalty gas.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     The  bill before  you, SB  50,  could help  in that  it                                                                    
     would allow  the commissioner to  accept, as  the price                                                                    
     being paid  to the  state for its  gas, the  price that                                                                    
     has been negotiated between Agrium and the producer.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Over  the  past  few  weeks   there  [have]  been  some                                                                    
     questions  with respect  to the  fiscal impact  of this                                                                    
     bill.    With respect  to  the  fiscal implications,  I                                                                    
     would like to offer the following comments:                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
        1. The Department of Natural Resources has supplied                                                                     
          you with a fiscal note.   It does not consider the                                                                    
          other  economic impacts  such as  wages, purchases                                                                    
          of   goods   and    services,   taxes,   and   new                                                                    
          developments,  to the  State  of  Alaska; it  only                                                                    
          considers the impact of natural gas value.                                                                            
        2. This analysis is based on forecasts and these                                                                        
          forecasts  involve   several  variables   such  as                                                                    
          volume, price,  ownership, etc., all of  which are                                                                    
          very   difficult  to   accurately  predict.   This                                                                    
          analysis  also assumes  we are  operating at  full                                                                    
          capacity  or, in  other  words, consuming  maximum                                                                    
          volumes of natural gas.                                                                                               
        3. As opposed to forecasting the future, the reality                                                                  
          of today is Agrium's  Kenai operation is currently                                                                    
          curtailed  due to  the inability  of suppliers  to                                                                    
          deliver adequate natural gas  supplies.  Our plant                                                                    
          is operating  on average at 75%  capacity so there                                                                    
          is  currently  a  real revenue  reduction  to  the                                                                  
          state,   Agrium,   and    the   local   economies,                                                                    
          regardless of which price forecast is used.                                                                           
        4. Unless we are able to find a producer who can                                                                        
          provide us  with a large  quantity of  natural gas                                                                    
          at  a  competitive price,  and  in  the very  near                                                                    
          future,  this curtailment  will  last for  several                                                                    
          years or  could even result  in our shutdown.   We                                                                    
          have  had repeated  discussions  with the  current                                                                    
          and future producers in Cook  Inlet and one of the                                                                    
          primary  areas   of  concern  is   the  additional                                                                    
          royalty the producer is currently  subject to.  To                                                                    
          quote  one  of  the  producers in  a  letter  sent                                                                    
          recently to the City of Kenai:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     As a producer looking to  market our natural gas, there                                                                    
     is  great   hesitation  to  enter  into   a  gas  sales                                                                    
     agreement with  a purchaser such  as Agrium  because it                                                                    
     adds  yet another  layer of  risk to  the producer.   A                                                                    
     producer selling gas  to Agrium runs the  risk, in fact                                                                    
     the probability,  that several years after  selling its                                                                    
     gas  to Agrium,  the  State will  assert  a claim  that                                                                    
     royalty needs  to be  paid on a  value higher  than the                                                                    
     arms length negotiated  contract price. This additional                                                                    
     royalty, plus interest  accrued at a higher-than-market                                                                    
     rate, would have to be  borne by the producer and/or by                                                                    
     the purchaser. It is for  this reason that Aurora Power                                                                    
     and  its  natural   gas  marketing  affiliate  strongly                                                                    
     endorse [SB 50] and the  concept that royalty should be                                                                    
     paid on  the basis  of arms length  negotiated contract                                                                    
     price.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
        1. As noted above, the development of new natural                                                                       
          gas  reserves is  more  difficult  because of  the                                                                    
          risk of unknown state royalty gas values.                                                                             
        2. The risk is associated with the value or price                                                                       
          being  set by  others  in a  process  we have  not                                                                    
          participated in.                                                                                                      
        3. If we are not successful in developing additional                                                                    
          competitive gas  reserves, we will not  survive as                                                                    
          a  business.   As a  result, the  revenues to  the                                                                    
          State from  royalty gas sales and  the added value                                                                    
          our business  brings to  the local  economies will                                                                    
          be zero.                                                                                                              
        4. Natural gas will have a different value to                                                                           
          different consumers.  One price  does and will not                                                                    
          fit all.                                                                                                              
        5. The overall economic benefits that different                                                                         
          natural   gas  consumers   bring   to  the   local                                                                    
          economies  will  be  different.   So,  don't  just                                                                    
          focus on the  value of the gas, look  at the whole                                                                    
          economic picture.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Eric  McDowell  from  The McDowell  Group  is  here  to                                                                    
     answer  any questions  you might  have with  respect to                                                                    
     the economic  benefits as well as  the economic impacts                                                                    
     this  facility  has  in  Alaska.    In  the  study  the                                                                    
     McDowell Group undertook last  year, they concluded "By                                                                    
     Alaskan  economic standards,  the  Agrium operation  is                                                                    
     exceptional  for its  combination of  high pay  levels,                                                                    
     amount and  concentration of expenditures in  the local                                                                    
     area, and the degree  of value-added manufacturing that                                                                    
     occurs  in Alaska  prior to  export.   The result  is a                                                                    
     high multiplier impact.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Mr.  Chairman  and  members of  the  committee,  again,                                                                    
     thank you for the opportunity  to speak before you.  We                                                                    
     would be happy to answer any questions.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR DYSON  asked if Agrium's  international product  tends to                                                               
track natural gas prices.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MR.  NUGENT  said it  does,  to  some  degree, within  the  North                                                               
American  market,  which  Agrium  does  not  participate  in.  He                                                               
stated:                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     Fertilizer prices  closely track  the value  of natural                                                                    
     gas on  an international  market so the  North American                                                                    
     market does  have some  influence on  the international                                                                    
     market,  but on  the  international  market the  prices                                                                    
     tend to  not track  the value of  natural gas.  And the                                                                    
     main   reason   for  that   is   most   of  the   other                                                                    
     manufacturers  or  producers   of  fertilizers  on  the                                                                    
     international market - the  other countries I mentioned                                                                    
     - Russia,  Indonesia, Saudi Arabia  - they tend  to fix                                                                    
     the value  of their natural  gas and  they fix it  at a                                                                    
     very low  level. They do  not - gas in  their countries                                                                    
     [does] not compete in a free market.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR DYSON said he has seen  a couple of reports that indicate                                                               
that as  early as five  or six years from  now, the price  of gas                                                               
may be $6  per BTU on an international level.  He asked if Alaska                                                               
got its stranded gas to an  advantageous market on the West Coast                                                               
or the Great Lakes and it had  that kind of value for heating and                                                               
power  generation, whether  Forest Oil  would have  a competitive                                                               
advantage.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT  said it could.  If the value  of natural gas  in Cook                                                               
Inlet  was tied  to a  bigger market  and driven  higher by  that                                                               
market,  then Agrium  would have  to make  adjustments to  either                                                               
compete in that market or not continue as a business.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  OGAN commented  that the  value of  Cook Inlet  gas varies                                                               
depending on  whom it is sold  to. He said  if it is sold  to the                                                               
Enstar system,  it is  more or less  tied to the  Henry Hub  by a                                                               
formula. He asked  if Agrium's long-term contract is  quite a bit                                                               
lower than the Enstar price.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT said that is correct.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN asked  if that puts Agrium at a  disadvantage with the                                                               
law of supply and demand so that  if there is more demand for gas                                                               
than is  currently in production, the  price of gas is  likely to                                                               
go up.  However, Agrium needs the  lowest price gas in  the Inlet                                                               
to be competitive with Indonesian gas.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR.  NUGENT said  that  is correct  but  within the  marketplace,                                                               
several other variables bring value  to producers, one being that                                                               
Agrium is a  steady consumer of natural gas  throughout the year,                                                               
whereas  the utilities  demand a  lot of  gas in  the winter  and                                                               
almost  none  in the  summer.  He  said different  consumers  and                                                               
producers within Cook  Inlet will value gas  differently and that                                                               
is  where the  risk comes  in  if another  producer and  consumer                                                               
strike a contract  for a larger value that can  have an effect on                                                               
Agrium's business in that the state's  portion of that gas can be                                                               
hired at that higher value.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MS. PARKER said  Agrium's current contract with  its gas supplier                                                               
through June  of 2009 is  not affected by this  legislation. This                                                               
legislation would apply to any  future contracts that are entered                                                               
into if this legislation is enacted.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN  noted that  is due  to a  change in  the bill  and he                                                               
appreciates Agrium's consideration of it  as that change made the                                                               
fiscal note much more palatable.  He then pointed out that Agrium                                                               
is involved in  litigation about reserves when  Agrium bought the                                                               
business. He asked  if this bill would be in  existence if Agrium                                                               
believed the reserves it was buying were the reserves it got.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT said he believes  Agrium would be before the committee                                                               
today but not  with the same amount of urgency.  Agrium's view of                                                               
the reserves it  was going to get from its  supplier one year ago                                                               
took Agrium  further into the  future than what the  reserves are                                                               
now  predicted to  be. This  legislation has  importance for  the                                                               
development of natural gas in Cook  Inlet in the future by making                                                               
it easier for the developers.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MS.  PARKER  explained that  Agrium  began  discussions with  the                                                               
Division of  Oil and Gas over  1 1/2 years  ago to try to  find a                                                               
mechanism  to provide  stability  for the  state's royalty  rate.                                                               
Agrium  was not  in  litigation  with Unocal  at  the time;  that                                                               
litigation has  nothing to  do with  SB 50.  Agrium is  trying to                                                               
provide stability and reliability  in gas pricing for value-added                                                               
manufacturers in Alaska.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  OGAN asked  for  an explanation  of  how Agrium's  current                                                               
rates vary and current problems with those rates.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MR.  NUGENT said  in Agrium's  contract with  its main  supplier,                                                               
Unocal, the price is based upon the value of Agrium's products.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  OGAN asked  if the  amount of  royalty paid  to the  state                                                               
varies depending  on certain  factors so  Agrium does  not really                                                               
know what it will pay at the end of the day.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT  said that is correct  so, on a day-to-day  basis, the                                                               
state receives  the same value for  the gas that Agrium  pays the                                                               
producer. As  time goes  on, the state  will monitor  and compare                                                               
that to  the prevailing  value for  that Cook  Inlet gas  and can                                                               
seek additional payment for the state's portion of that gas.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  OGAN  commented  the  problem is  that  Agrium  would  not                                                               
necessarily have that money budgeted.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN  STEVENS said Mr.  Carlson gave a breakdown  of total                                                               
Inlet  production  at  35  percent  LNG,  25  percent  fertilizer                                                               
feedstock, 30  percent utilities,  and 10 percent  for extraction                                                               
at oil and gas facilities. He  asked if the 25 percent fertilizer                                                               
feedstock is at capacity.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT said it is.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  BEN STEVENS  asked  if  Agrium sees  any  growth in  its                                                               
consumption in the future.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT said  as a first step, Agrium would  like to encourage                                                               
and develop  arrangements with other producers  to produce enough                                                               
gas in Cook  Inlet to get Agrium back to  capacity. Hopefully, if                                                               
additional  reserves are  discovered, that  additional gas  could                                                               
either be available to Agrium or other manufacturers.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  BEN STEVENS  asked if  Mr. Carlson's  rough estimate  is                                                               
Agrium's consumption at capacity.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MR.  NUGENT said  yes,  and in  volume  numbers, the  consumption                                                               
within Cook Inlet  on an annual basis is about  200 BCF per year.                                                               
Agrium consumes about 55 BCF,  the Phillips LNG consumes about 80                                                               
BCF  and the  utility system  and the  oil companies  consume the                                                               
balance.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN  STEVENS asked  if Agrium  buys its  consumption from                                                               
Unocal who pays the royalty.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT said that is correct.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  BEN  STEVENS asked  if  it  is  based  on the  value  of                                                               
Agrium's product.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT replied, "The price  that we pay our supplier, Unocal,                                                               
is based on the value of our product."                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MS.  PARKER  told members  the  draft  contracts that  Agrium  is                                                               
discussing with the producers have  an upside. They contain a set                                                               
a base  price so if  the price of ammonia  goes up and  Agrium is                                                               
making money,  the price  that Agrium pays  the producer  for gas                                                               
would also increase.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN STEVENS asked if  Mr. Nugent said the commissioner is                                                               
required to negotiate for the highest price available.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT verified that he did.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN STEVENS  referred to Section 1(B) on page  2, line 9,                                                               
and asked  if that  gives the commissioner  the latitude  to look                                                               
into other justifications for price  negotiations and to take the                                                               
price generated from Agrium's product.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. NUGENT  said there could  be. In Agrium's  existing contract,                                                               
the value of  the gas is based on the  value of Agrium's product.                                                               
He noted that as Agrium  makes agreements with other producers in                                                               
the future, that  would be one way to price  gas with a producer.                                                               
There would  be several ways to  price that gas other  than a set                                                               
dollar amount per volume for a set period of time.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
TAPE 03-17, SIDE B                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN  STEVENS asked  if Section  B gives  the commissioner                                                               
the latitude to accept prices other than the highest price.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MS. PARKER  said it does.  Section B will allow  the commissioner                                                               
to  accept  the  contract  that's  been  negotiated  between  the                                                               
producer and Agrium, as opposed to using the higher one.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN STEVENS referred to language  on page 2, line 29 that                                                               
reads, "or other  tangible benefits to the state;"  and asked how                                                               
the commissioner would quantify those tangible benefits.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. ERIC McDOWELL told members in the McDowell Group's study on                                                                 
the economic impacts of Agrium, the group looked at about 200                                                                   
economic entities in Alaska over the years. He stated:                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     Of  all  of  them,  this  seemed to  come  out  -  most                                                                    
     beneficial  in terms  of other  benefits to  the state,                                                                    
     first, in  terms you're earning  royalties off  of this                                                                    
     operation.  Secondly,  the stable  year-round  resident                                                                    
     payroll has wages comparable to  the North Slope, which                                                                    
     is not all  resident, but the average  wage is $84,000,                                                                    
     it's  year-round,  it's  stable.  Taxes  that  might  -                                                                    
     otherwise  the   state  would  bear  -   are  generated                                                                    
     privately $2.5  million per year to  the Borough alone,                                                                    
     just  on that  plant, $50  million in  payroll, housing                                                                    
     taxes, so on and so forth.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     So, we find  that the multiplier effect to  300 jobs of                                                                    
     this  kind of  that  pay scale  that  are all  resident                                                                    
     through  both  -  through  all  the  multiple  impacts,                                                                    
     generate another 700. In this  day and age, where we're                                                                    
     measuring  economic  progress  in Alaska  in  terms  of                                                                    
     MacDonald's jobs, to have this  situation here that can                                                                    
     be stabilized and enhanced by  policies you can make is                                                                    
     certainly  an  opportunity  in favor  of  the  kind  of                                                                    
     value-added manufacturing  you would like to  see a lot                                                                    
     of in Alaska.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     So, while the  report is full of  various numbers about                                                                    
     the economic impacts  of what we can  say, it certainly                                                                    
     is an operation that generates  a lot of money from the                                                                    
     private  sector that  goes to  pay for  public services                                                                    
     and so forth.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     A second comment  I'd like to make -  not directly part                                                                    
     of our study  but in looking at the fiscal  note and in                                                                    
     doing some  analysis of  our own,  you have  a peculiar                                                                    
     market situation  in there. You essentially  have three                                                                    
     buyers,  and they're  buyers for  different purposes  -                                                                    
     utilities,  LNG and  fertilizer.  What  he's saying  is                                                                    
     there are different  prices for each of  those uses and                                                                    
     they're consuming  - they're  kind of  like a  COSTCO -                                                                    
     they're consuming  25 percent of the  production of the                                                                    
     Inlet. If  that buyer  drops out,  what happens  to the                                                                    
     pricing structure of the  state's royalties overall? It                                                                    
     goes  down to  zero  and the  whole pricing  structure,                                                                    
     based on the way the state does it, sort of collapses.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     And, so,  what they're  asking for,  as I'm  hearing it                                                                    
     is, rather than a  subsidy, is stability. By supporting                                                                    
     this  particular  situation  before you,  where  you're                                                                    
     looking where you can  continue an exceptional economic                                                                    
     situation  that  has  these  other  benefits  that  the                                                                    
     commissioner  is   required  to  consider   that  we've                                                                    
     quantified in  this study, guarantees that  you'll have                                                                    
     continued royalty  payments from  a quarter of  the gas                                                                    
     produced in the Inlet  plus encourage other production.                                                                    
     So, there seems to be a lot of benefits to the state.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     The risk, on the other  side, is either decreased or no                                                                    
     production  by Agrium,  in which  case  there are  less                                                                    
     royalties to  the state  and when,  in the  future, you                                                                    
     might  find another  buyer for  some other  purpose you                                                                    
     would have  that gap of  perhaps years of no  revenue -                                                                    
     royalties   from   that....   So,  from   an   economic                                                                    
     standpoint,  I'll conclude  my  comments,  and that  is                                                                    
     that  there  are  some very  substantial  and  positive                                                                    
     economic  benefits, especially  in this  time with  the                                                                    
     burden you  have of considering the  economy in Alaska.                                                                    
     A    major    private   operation    is    contributing                                                                    
     substantially  in   lieu  of  money  the   state  would                                                                    
     otherwise have to contribute to support that region.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Secondly,  recognizing that  this is  kind of  a unique                                                                    
     market -  very limited  consumers and that  it probably                                                                    
     is appropriate state  policy to arrange it  so that you                                                                    
     can insure both revenue directly  to the state and also                                                                    
     the  bigger issue  of the  economic  benefits that  are                                                                    
     currently  accruing  and  we  hope  would  continue  to                                                                    
     accrue.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN noted  that Senator Stevens zeroed in on  the heart of                                                               
the issue, that being that the  state would give the same deal to                                                               
a private company  that it gives to the  utilities: accepting the                                                               
contract price as the royalty  calculation. The justification for                                                               
the  utilities  is  that  the  break will  trickle  down  to  the                                                               
customers  who actually  own the  public utilities.  Therefore, a                                                               
little less  money goes  into the state  treasury, but  the money                                                               
from a public resource is going  back to the public. He noted the                                                               
justification of  SB 50 is  that the legislature will  adopt that                                                               
same policy  for a private  company so  the state will  receive a                                                               
smaller  royalty  in  exchange for  employment  opportunities  or                                                               
other tangible benefits.  He felt that the  committee must decide                                                               
whether this is  a good public purpose for a  public resource and                                                               
justifies less money to the state treasury.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR BEN STEVENS  noted the difference between  Sections A and                                                               
B, in terms of affiliation,  and asked why an affiliated interest                                                               
is  defined as  substantial  influence of  a  family interest  or                                                               
common stock interest.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON  said the House  was attempting to grasp  a numerical                                                               
value, which  is the reason  for the  10 percent factor.   Beyond                                                               
that,  the parties  become affiliated  and could  be gaining  the                                                               
interest.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  SEEKINS  thought  the  intent   appears  to  be  that  a                                                               
manufacturer  cannot   buy  gas  at  an   advantageous  price  to                                                               
wholesale  it  to  itself.  He  commented  [that  addresses]  the                                                               
threshold of a  relationship in which a company could  get a good                                                               
price from the  state to wholesale it to itself  to make a profit                                                               
in another market.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR  BEN  STEVENS  questioned   why  the  two  sections  have                                                               
different definitions  but said  he would research  that question                                                               
himself.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR ELTON said  the relationship is defined on  page 2, lines                                                               
9-21,  which   says  it  cannot   be  over  10  percent   of  the                                                               
manufacturer's  value-added  product.  He then  referred  to  the                                                               
existing language on lines 30-31,  that says, "(C) the lessee and                                                               
the  utility  are  related in  management,  ownership,  or  other                                                               
aspect; and." He asked if  this legislation sets up two different                                                               
standards, one that seems to  allow the commissioner to find that                                                               
any relationship  is a reason  to make a written  finding denying                                                               
the royalty provision, yet the  earlier language defines it by 10                                                               
percent.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON  said she sees  that as a double-edged  sword because                                                               
there would be  two ways for the commissioner to  deny a contract                                                               
using  either   the  10  percent   provision  or  because   of  a                                                               
relationship to the management/ownership.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR ELTON  responded, "Or,  you could set  up a  situation in                                                               
which it's 8  percent, which would be allowed under  (B), but may                                                               
not be allowed under (C)."                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON said  that would be correct  because the commissioner                                                               
would have to  make a written finding if it  was under 10 percent                                                               
but there was management ownership and "other."                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR ELTON noted  that Mr. Carlson outlined  the percentage of                                                               
gas  that was  going to  the three  different uses.  He said  the                                                               
legislature has created  this benefit for the  utilities and this                                                               
legislation  extends that  benefit to  the fertilizer  feed stock                                                               
industry. He  asked what effect  that will have on  the component                                                               
of gas that is  going into the LNG market and  whether it will be                                                               
disadvantaged because  the legislature has  created opportunities                                                               
for two of the customers and not for the third.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON said that is a good question.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN suggested  asking a representative of  the Division of                                                               
Oil and Gas.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. JACKSON said regarding Senator  Stevens' question about other                                                               
tangible benefits, the one that has  always come to her mind as a                                                               
resident of  the Kenai Peninsula  is the  20-mil cap for  oil and                                                               
gas properties. The  Kenai Peninsula is not at the  20-mil cap so                                                               
the State  of Alaska  gets the  difference right  now.   That can                                                               
amount to 8 to 12 mils, which is a substantial amount of money.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MS. PARKER asked  to clarify that the purpose of  the language in                                                               
Section 1(B)  is to make  sure the transaction is  an arms-length                                                               
one  between the  producer and  the  consumer, in  this case  the                                                               
agricultural chemical  manufacturer. She  then said  with respect                                                               
to  Senator   Elton's  question  about  disadvantaging   the  LNG                                                               
component,  the  LNG  plant  is   also  in  the  exploration  and                                                               
production business.  It supplies its  own product as  the Tyonek                                                               
platform is dedicated  strictly to the LNG  plant. The negotiated                                                               
settlement between  the State of Alaska  and Conoco-Phillips over                                                               
the royalty share will provide benefit to Conoco-Phillips.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR.  BILL POPP,  Oil  and  Gas Liaison  for  the Kenai  Peninsula                                                               
Borough, gave the following testimony.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     The Kenai  Peninsula Borough supports in  principle the                                                                    
     passage  of SB  50  and views  this  legislation as  an                                                                    
     important  step  towards  providing a  stable  business                                                                    
     environment for the  value-added manufacturing industry                                                                    
     in the Cook Inlet basin.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     Agrium is a  key component of our economy  of the Kenai                                                                    
     Peninsula  Borough.   It's  the  third   largest  local                                                                    
     employer. It  generates nearly  300 direct  high paying                                                                    
     jobs  and several  hundred additional  jobs within  the                                                                    
     local support  industry and it does  account for nearly                                                                    
     $25 million  in direct payroll in  our communities. The                                                                    
     Agrium  facility  generates   nearly  $2.5  million  in                                                                    
     property taxes  to the  Kenai Peninsula  Borough, which                                                                    
     equates  to  approximately  9   percent  of  the  total                                                                    
     property taxes  collected by the Borough  in 2001. That                                                                    
     number is holding true again this year.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     SB  50  addresses the  issues  of  price certainty  and                                                                    
     planning   stability   for   Agrium  by   providing   a                                                                    
     consistent  and   reliable  price  structure   for  any                                                                    
     royalty  natural   gas  purchased  by  the   plant  for                                                                    
     conversion  into fertilizer  or ammonia,  products that                                                                    
     compete  for  buyers  in  a  highly  competitive  world                                                                    
     market with razor  thin margins at times.   While SB 50                                                                    
     will not  solve all the  issues that face Agrium  as it                                                                    
     moves forward  to compete for  sales in the  future, it                                                                    
     does  eliminate a  significant uncertainty  factor from                                                                    
     its future business planning.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     The Kenai Peninsula Borough supports  the passage of SB
     50  and  has  stated  that support  through  the  Kenai                                                                    
     Peninsula  Borough resolution  2003-024. So,  on behalf                                                                    
     of the  Kenai Peninsula  Borough, I  do ask  the Senate                                                                    
     Resources  Committee to  support passage  of this  bill                                                                    
     and  I thank  you  for the  opportunity  to testify  in                                                                    
     support of SB 50.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR ELTON said  it would be helpful to learn  about the other                                                               
incentives the state may offer  for exploration and production in                                                               
the Cook Inlet fields to put this legislation in context.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN  suggested the  committee get an  overview of  the oil                                                               
and gas  situation in Cook Inlet.  He then asked Mr.  Myers if he                                                               
wished to comment on SB 50 today.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MR.  MARK  MYERS,  Director  of  the Division  of  Oil  and  Gas,                                                               
Department  of Natural  Resources, said  he could  clear up  some                                                               
questions about the criteria and  how the negotiations would take                                                               
place.   He  said   the  first   misconception  is   that  actual                                                               
negotiations occur.  Basically, in an AS  38.05.180(aa) treatment                                                               
[hereafter referred to as (aa)  treatment], the state accepts the                                                               
contract price  that the lessee has  with the buyer. There  is no                                                               
negotiation involved,  therefore the  90 days provides  plenty of                                                               
time.  The  state has  no  mechanism  of negotiation;  the  state                                                               
accepts  whatever the  parties negotiate  external to  the state.                                                               
Regarding  the criteria,  the statute  is rather  unusual in  the                                                               
sense  that  (B)(2)  lists the  criteria  the  commissioner  must                                                               
consider as follows:                                                                                                            
     (A) Is the contract price is unreasonably low?                                                                             
     (B) Will increased employment opportunities or other                                                                       
     tangible benefits result?                                                                                                  
     (C) Is the relationship an arms length one? and                                                                            
     (D) Is it in the best interests of the state?                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
He said  it is important to  note that line 29  contains the word                                                               
"and." Therefore,  all four  of the criteria  must exist  for the                                                               
commissioner  to   deny  a  contract,   which  makes   it  almost                                                               
impossible for  the commissioner  to do so.  He pointed  out that                                                               
language provides  an automatic  grant under almost  anything but                                                               
the most unusual circumstances.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MR. MYERS then  clarified that the word "and" is  on page 3, line                                                               
1 of the committee substitute.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN asked  Mr. Myers if he would recommend  using the word                                                               
"or" instead.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  MYERS  said  he  would  if  the  committee's  intent  is  to                                                               
disqualify  an applicant  for  any one  of  those conditions.  He                                                               
repeated that the standard is that  the contract must be an arms-                                                               
length  contract. One  reason  the state  uses  the market  value                                                               
approach is that it is  very difficult to demonstrate arms-length                                                               
contracts. Almost  all royalty contracts use  market value rather                                                               
than just the contract price.   That is true of the state-federal                                                               
leases  in Cook  Inlet.  That provides  additional  value to  the                                                               
state, but it  also provides confidence that the  contract is not                                                               
an arms-length one.  He said the third thing to  note is that the                                                               
certainty goes to  the lessee, not to the buyer  of the gas under                                                               
the  contract.  The state  is  not  subject to  the  negotiations                                                               
between a  Cook Inlet producer and  a buyer. Whether or  not that                                                               
benefit  is passed  on to  the purchaser  is purely  due to  that                                                               
contract.  Therefore,  it is  quite  possible  an Inlet  producer                                                               
might  keep  all  of  the  value under  the  (aa)  treatment  and                                                               
legitimately so.  That is not for  the state to judge.  Mr. Myers                                                               
said  that the  (aa) treatments  are  a bit  unusual because  the                                                               
relief does not  go to the intended party. However,  it is passed                                                               
on in  utility cases but that  would not necessarily be  the case                                                               
in a private manufacturing contract.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR. MYERS  said DNR  feels comfortable with  the fiscal  note. It                                                               
does not look  at the upside potential of the  plant remaining in                                                               
existence,  but that  is  not  allowable in  a  fiscal note.  The                                                               
fiscal note  contains some assumptions but  outcomes were derived                                                               
from various scenarios, which all  have less royalty value to the                                                               
state.  That is  simply because  the  state would  have kept  the                                                               
contract price if, in fact, it  was higher. There are no cases in                                                               
which this will  provide more royalty value other  than the plant                                                               
either  taking less  gas from  the  state or  the plant  shutting                                                               
down. He  noted DNR's economist  spent a  lot of time  working on                                                               
this fiscal note with Agrium to do a solid analysis.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR.  MYERS said  DNR is  aware of  the importance  of the  Agrium                                                               
plant and a value added  industry, however it does recognize that                                                               
the  value  here,  approximately  $2 million  annually,  has  the                                                               
equivalent effect of lowering their  gas price by about 3.6 cents                                                               
per  MCF  on  Agrium's  total  gas take.  He  offered  to  answer                                                               
questions.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN commented that he  suggested the bill should contain a                                                               
provision for  a negotiation  reopener if there  is an  upside to                                                               
the market and  Agrium's response was the price it  pays is based                                                               
on the  price it  gets for its  goods. He asked  Mr. Myers  if he                                                               
concurs that an upside is already built in.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR. MYERS  said it all  depends on  the contract Agrium  has with                                                               
the  producer. Agrium  can enter  into a  long-term, fixed  price                                                               
contract where compensation for  adjustments in price value could                                                               
be compensation other  than gas price. Agrium could  enter into a                                                               
contract where it  is directly proportional to the  gas price and                                                               
the gas price  does go up. On the other  hand, Agrium could enter                                                               
into a contract price based on  spot or market value in the Inlet                                                               
or Henry  Hub. Therefore, it  would be fairly speculative  to say                                                               
how the  state would benefit from  that and, again, DNR  is not a                                                               
party to that contract.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MR.  MYERS said  his last  point is  on the  question of  how the                                                               
state  deals with  the value  of gas  for the  LNG facility.  The                                                               
state reached  a settlement  with the producer  so it  gets about                                                               
half of the value  of the gas delivered in Japan.   In that case,                                                               
the state recognized  that it is dealing with  a different market                                                               
and different conditions. Other mechanisms  could be used, as Mr.                                                               
Carlson  suggested, and  some of  those mechanisms  could capture                                                               
the upside. He  repeated that the (aa) treatment  was never meant                                                               
to capture  the upside. It was  meant to provide a  stable, lower                                                               
price of  gas, which  passes on  the benefit to  the user  of the                                                               
gas.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN asked  Mr. Myers if he sees  any potential liabilities                                                               
in the  future due  to this legislation  setting a  precedent for                                                               
others.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MR.  MYERS said  that  is  a good  question  and certainly  other                                                               
value-added uses for natural gas exist.  One of the issues is the                                                               
higher  value  has  brought  in  significantly  more  revenue.  A                                                               
rolling  of that  contract, under  the  lease form,  will have  a                                                               
large-scale economic  impact if applied  to other users.  He said                                                               
this  is  a  policy  call,  sort  of  an  insurance  policy  that                                                               
increases  value to  the gas  producers selling  to Agrium.  That                                                               
amount  will vary  depending  on the  contract  price versus  the                                                               
market   value.  Similar   treatment  would   provide  additional                                                               
economic value to any lessee.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR OGAN said  the construction of a natural gas  pipeline is a                                                               
possibility so  the legislature  needs to  be mindful  that there                                                               
will  be other  value added  industries when  it decides  on this                                                               
policy. There  being no further  questions, CHAIR  OGAN adjourned                                                               
the meeting at 5:00 p.m.                                                                                                        

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